Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 4:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has converted 75.8% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.8 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 7th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing away from home, logging 0.0 per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
Daniel Gafford stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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