Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 97th percentile for scoring ability with the home court advantage with a stellar 74.4% rate this year.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the quickest tempo away team in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Daniel Gafford has sunk 95.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.8% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

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