Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 3:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 71.1% of his shots from the field on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Mavericks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 4th percentile for 3-point attempts while on the road, tallying 0.0 per game since the start of last season.
Daniel Gafford has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
When defending other starting Cs, Trayce Jackson-Davis rates in the 13th percentile with only 8.0 shots from the field against him per game this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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