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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has made 68.9% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

In terms of offense, the Mavericks's terrific 115.2 points per game rates 10th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game while at home this year.

The number of field goals converted against Nikola Vucevic has been remarkably low (3.0 per game) when he is away from his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford registers in the 14th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a subpar 64.5% rate since the start of last season.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Nikola Vucevic has been remarkably low this year (1.0 free throws per game when they are at home: 3rd percentile).

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