Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has converted 61.1% of his field goals playing at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's stellar 115.1 points per game settles in as the 10th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for 3-point shots; when Turner is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted an enormous 50.0% of their 3-point shots (90th percentile).
The matchup against Myles Turner is a good one for drawing fouls; when Turner is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 5.5 foul shots per game (80th percentile).
Daniel Gafford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.5 fouls per game at home this year.
In terms of threes, the Mavericks's feeble 33.1% rate of successful threes ranks 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The 7th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 13th percentile for free-throw ability with a subpar 64.0% rate since the start of last season.

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