Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 6/17/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Jun 17, 2024

Updated Jun 18, 2024 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has sunk 75.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the league away from home this year has been the Mavericks.
The faceoff with Al Horford rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs logging a whopping 14.9 points per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Compared to last year's 72.6% mark, Daniel Gafford's foul-shot prowess has decreased this year to 63.9%.

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