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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has converted 76.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The number of points averaged against Al Horford has been remarkably high (15.2 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford has attempted 3.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Daniel Gafford will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 threes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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