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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 5/30/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a positive one; he has given up a colossal 14.7 points per game playing at home when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 75.2% clip, Daniel Gafford's field goal prowess has been reduced this season to 69.4%.
  • Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • In contrast to last year's 72.6% mark, Daniel Gafford's free-throw effectiveness has been reduced this year to 63.4%.

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