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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 5/26/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has made 74.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 9.2% more than he's converted overall this year on his home court.

As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.4 threes per game (100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (4.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 5th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc playing at home, averaging 0.0 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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