Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 5/24/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 24, 2024

Updated May 25, 2024 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+120/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.4 treys per game (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The faceoff with Rudy Gobert as it relates to drawing fouls measures in only the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 75.2% clip, Daniel Gafford's field goal ability has been reduced this year to 69.1%.
Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Daniel Gafford has successfully made a measly 63.8% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 72.6 rate last year.

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