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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 5/15/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a positive one for three-point shots; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 35.0% of their 3-pointers (83rd percentile).

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Chet Holmgren has been remarkably high (4.6 foul shots per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 75.2% rate, Daniel Gafford's field goal effectiveness has regressed this year to 69.0%.

Daniel Gafford has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).

With respect to shooting, the Mavericks's poor 43.6% field goal rate ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Relative to last season's 72.6% rate, Daniel Gafford's free-throw ability has regressed this season to 64.2%.

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