Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 13, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 1:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The faceoff with Chet Holmgren places in only the 88th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up a colossal 15.4 points per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the foul line measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 4.6 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 75.2% clip, Daniel Gafford's scoring performance has diminished this season to 69.2%.
Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Daniel Gafford has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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