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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Mavericks check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a positive one; he has allowed a colossal 15.5 points per game when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (88th percentile).

The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Chet Holmgren has been very high (4.7 free throws per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 75.2% rate, Daniel Gafford's shooting proficiency has been reduced this year to 69.0%.

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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