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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup with Chet Holmgren registers in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs nailing a monstrous 34.4% of their 3-pointers this year when they are on the visiting team.
  • The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
  • The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.6 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Daniel Gafford has converted a lowly 69.1% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 75.2 rate last year.
  • Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 treys per game away from home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).
  • The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
  • Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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