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Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a good one; he has allowed a colossal 15.6 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks.Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford rates in the 76th percentile for getting to the foul line, tallying an enormous 2.4 foul shots per game this year.The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.6 free throws per game (100th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Daniel Gafford has successfully made a mere 69.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 75.2 mark last season.Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Mavericks's feeble 20.7 free throw attempts per game on the road comes in as the 7th-worst in the NBA this year.
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