Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · May 1, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 1:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has successfully made just 69.8% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly less than his 75.2 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a hard one; he has given up just 12.3 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (11th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.

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