Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:52 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has made 66.8% of his field goals while on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's superb 121.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Jalen Duren is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 42.2% of their attempts from downtown (100th percentile).
The 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-quickest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 5th percentile for shot attempts from downtown when playing at home, registering 0.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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