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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has sunk 78.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The number of 3-pointers attempted against Jabari Smith Jr. has been remarkably high (2.2 per game) when away from his home court and guarding other starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 7th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 5th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc at home, averaging 0.0 per game this year.

Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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