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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 77.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Walker Kessler has been remarkably high (4.1 free throw attempts per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

The showdown with Walker Kessler rates in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs sinking just 0.3 shots from downtown per game this year when they are at home.

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 45.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 23.0% less than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.

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