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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 119.6 points per game while playing on the road rates 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks.

The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when Duren is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.7 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 threes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup against Jalen Duren is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when Duren is on his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 1.2 three-point shots per game (13th percentile).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league as the away team with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Daniel Gafford is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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