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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has made 69.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks's outstanding 122.2 points per game rates 3rd-highest in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have logged 108.6 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output.

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 77th percentile for getting to the foul line, putting up a massive 2.6 free throws per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

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