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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has sunk 66.9% of his shot attempts from the field on his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a strong one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a massive 42.5% of their shots from downtown (93rd percentile).

The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Washington Wizards.

Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 7th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court, logging 0.0 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

The clash with Jusuf Nurkic as it relates to getting to the free-throw line lands in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 2.7 foul shots per game this year.

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