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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford lands in the 99th percentile for shooting prowess with a an excellent 71.5% rate this year.

In regard to shooting, the Wizards's impressive 114.5 points per game as the away team places 6th-most in the league over the last 23 games.

The speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

The Pistons have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 treys per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.4 fouls per game last year.

The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when Duren is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have averaged just 0.3 threes per game (3rd percentile).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production across the board.

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