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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 95th percentile for shooting ability while at home with a a very good 66.2% rate this year.

This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (30.5).

When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Nikola Jokic rates in the 97th percentile with a massive 11.2 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.

The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

With respect to drawing fouls, the Washington Wizards's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home ranks worst in the league this year.

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