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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to scoring, the Washington Wizards's impressive 49.5% field goal percentage while playing at home places 5th-best in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Isaiah Hartenstein is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Hartenstein is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 51.4% of their treys (93rd percentile).

The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year.

The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Wizards.

While playing away from home, the Knicks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has sunk a mere 69.5% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 75.2 mark last year.

Daniel Gafford has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

This matchup is a good one for field goals; the other team has shot for the 8th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 15 games when the Knicks are the visiting squad (48.9%).

The Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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