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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has made 6.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this year.

The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a positive one for shots from downtown; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 46.2% of their 3-point shots (90th percentile).

The fastest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.

Away from home, the Toronto Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 7th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc playing at home, tallying 0.0 per game this year.

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has shot 51.8% on field goals (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a positive matchup.

The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).

The Washington Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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