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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 96th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a great 67.8% rate this year.

Relative to last season's 20.0 clip, Daniel Gafford's playing time has risen this season to 24.3 minutes per game.

With respect to offense, the Wizards's outstanding 115.6 points per game while at home places 10th-strongest in the league this year.

The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.

The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 11 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.4 fouls per game last season.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Pelicans are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (14.6%).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).

Daniel Gafford has made a mere 64.9% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 72.6 mark last year.

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