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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has sunk 5.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court.

Daniel Gafford has played a terrific 24.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 20.0 minutes per game last year.

The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.

The Washington Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the league as the away team this year.

The Washington Wizards are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has committed 3.7 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.4 fouls per game last year.

This year, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 17.9% on three-pointers (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a hard matchup.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

While on their home court, the Bucks have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford has converted a mere 60.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 72.6 rate last year.

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