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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford rates in the 100th percentile for field goal efficiency with a a remarkable 77.9% rate since the start of last season.

The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against New York is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the New York Knicks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 27th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.2).

The quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.

The Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 fouls per game last season.

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Washington Wizards.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 3.0 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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