Daniel Gafford Blocks - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Blocks

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 7:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Blocks Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has tallied 2.0 blocks per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best by this metric over this stretch: 99th percentile.
The 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers).
Daniel Gafford will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while at home this year.

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