Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has posted 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
Daniel Gafford has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford will likely see a rise in effectiveness across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.7 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

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