Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has tallied 2.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Daniel Gafford has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while at home with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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