Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 1:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Daniel Gafford has been on the court for 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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