Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 12:50 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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