Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 12:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-240/+190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league while playing away from home this year.
Daniel Gafford will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production across the board.

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