Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 7:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-227).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -233 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford figures to get a boost in production in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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