Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 1:18 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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