Daniel Gafford Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 10:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -275.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.6 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford should suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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