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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Assists
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Daniel Gafford Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The Miami Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford will likely see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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