D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:44 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has averaged 29.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Lakers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home since the start of last season.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.9% on threes (7th-best in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The 3rd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.9 free throws per game this year when the 76ers are the visiting squad (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

D'Angelo Russell has attempted a lowly 11.0 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 14.2 mark last year.
Compared to last year's 7.3 clip, D'Angelo Russell's shot attempts from downtown have declined this year to 6.0 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell comes in at the 75th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
The Lakers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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