D'Angelo Russell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has made 2.5 shots from downtown per game away from his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Heat have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

D'Angelo Russell has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 31.8% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a difficult matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
D'Angelo Russell is expected to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this contest.