D'Angelo Russell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 12:37 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has averaged 6.9 assists per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
D'Angelo Russell has tallied 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
D'Angelo Russell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

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