D'Angelo Russell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has posted 6.1 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile.
D'Angelo Russell has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
D'Angelo Russell will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

D'Angelo Russell has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

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