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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 4.1 defensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games.

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game this year.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Damian Lillard will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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