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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has compiled 4.1 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the league by this standard recently: 82nd percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 35.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The 3rd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.
  • Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The Bucks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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