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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has totaled 4.1 defensive rebounds per game away from home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
  • Damian Lillard has played 36.0 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (99th percentile).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
  • The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
  • Playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance across the board.

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