Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
The Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.
Damian Lillard will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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