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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2025

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has converted 4.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 42.3% on threes (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, designating this as a good matchup.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
  • Damian Lillard is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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