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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 9.0 treys per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Raptors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled 17.1 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage (5th-least in the league).

Damian Lillard will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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