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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 9.5 per game this year.

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 36.4 minutes per game this year.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Damian Lillard has converted 6.4 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.8%).

The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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